Our Titans gambling preview record now sits at 8-2 after falling victim to a terrible beat last week. We took the over and missed by 6.5 points in a game that saw two interceptions thrown in the end zone and another picked off at the one-yard line. I know what you’re thinking… excuses, excuses. Let’s move on.
This week we’re going to keep it simple. Once again, betting the spread between the Titans and Saints a daring undertaking. One that we will not even flirt with the idea of betting on.
The reality of this week’s spread is that the Saints are 9-5 against the spread and they are 5-0 against the spread in their last five games on the road. The trends point to a definitive Saints coverage here, but do you really want to do that?
The Titans have also been coverage machines in recent memory. Tennessee is 4-1 against the spread in its last five games with the sole non cover coming last week.
This week the Saints are only 2.5 point favorites. With the spread under three points and both teams showing consistent ability to cover, we’ll stay away.
Once again, we will ride with the over in this matchup. The total is set at 49.5 which is the third highest mark in the league. The Titans vs. Raiders game was also set at the third highest mark in the league two weeks ago and guess what… the over hit with plenty of room to spare.
Tennessee continues to show the ability to put up high totals, hitting the over in seven of their last eight (As we already explained, the over could have easily hit last week minus a few bad breaks). The over has also hit in four of New Orleans’s last six games played on Sunday.
Building off of the trends, this week also presents a matchup between two of the hottest quarterbacks in the league.
If Drew Brees & Ryan Tannehill ended the year with their current numbers, Brees’ 115.3 passer rating would finish seventh all-time, while Tannehill’s 114.6 would be ninth.
Brees (75.8) & Tannehill (71.5) are also ranked 1st & 2nd, respectively in completion percentage #Titans
— AtoZSports Nashville (@AtoZSports) December 19, 2019
The Titans have shown the ability to score on virtually anybody. At the same time, there are serious doubts about Tennessee’s defensive ability to stop Drew Brees.
With Adoree Jackson being ruled out, an already depleted secondary now has to find a way to stop Michael Thomas and company. Getting pressure on Drew Brees isn’t necessarily easy either as the Saints give up the third fewest sacks in the NFL. New Orleans is dealing with a couple injuries on the offensive line, but a lot of the credit should go to Drew Brees and Teddy Bridgewater for their headiness to avoid pressure.
The trends, quarterbacks and injuries all point to the over this week. So we’ll ride with it once again.
Back on the winning path this week.