There have been six games this season that we’ve placed a wager in our Titans gambling previews. In those games, we’ve hit on five of them. Here comes the sixth.
History shows us that this is a tough game to bet on. Both teams are 5-5 against the spread this season and 5-5 to the over/under. Yikes.
Of course there are some variables here, including different variations at the quarterback position throughout the season for both teams. Nonetheless, we’re going to look at some trends to give us our best bet of the weekend.
First, there’s the obvious. The Titans have beaten the Jaguars the last five times they’ve traveled to Nashville. Tennessee is also 4-1 against the spread in their last five against Jacksonville.
The Titans are also vastly better at home against the division than they are on the road. In their last nine home games against the AFC South, the Titans are 7-2 against the spread.
Historically, Jacksonville struggles in the month of November. As playoff races generally tend to heat up, the Jaguars cool down. The Jags are 2-10 straight up in their last 12 road games in the month of November.
Here’s the kicker for this game. Jacksonville’s run defense has crumbled lately. The Jaguars gave up 216 rush yards against the Texans in week nine. After their bye week, they got even worse giving up 264 yards on the ground to the Colts. Derrick Henry should be licking his chops.
— Austin Stanley (@AustinStanley81) November 17, 2019
Tennessee is going to run all over Jacksonville and the Jags offense is going to hit a speed bump in the process of bringing Nick Foles back into their offense.
Go ahead and lock it in. Titans -3.
Cover Photo: Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports