Welcome back to another edition of the AtoZ Sports Titans gambling previews. If you’ve been tailing our picks this season, then you’ve seen some nice return as we are 6-1 this year (only loss coming in the Chargers game… the FREAKING Charges!).
This week, the Colts opened up as 3.5 point favorites, but that line has since moved down to Colts -2. The over/under is currently sitting around 43 at most books.
Betting the spread this week is an absolute fool’s bet. If you could’ve gotten the Titans at +3.5, there could have been some value there. My general rule of thumb in gambling though, is if the spread is less than three points and you are thinking about taking the underdog, you might as well take them to win straight up and get yourself some better odds.
Why would you bet on the Titans straight up though? Over the last 11 years, it is more common that we see a leap year than it is to see the Titans win in Indianapolis. With the Colts recent struggles and the Titans recent success, could that trend change this week? Sure. Am I willing to bet on it? Not a chance.
The really intriguing bet here is the over/under.
When betting the total, the Ryan Tannehill effect is alive and well. During Marcus Mariota’s time under center, the Titans hailed as the best under bet in all of the NFL. Over the last five games though, the Titans are 4-1 to the over thanks to an improved offense and a defense that has quietly been giving up more and more points each week.
— Mike Herndon (@MikeMiracles) November 25, 2019
Also, the Colts are 6-5 to the over even though they had to play a few weeks without Jacoby Brissett. Add a healthy Brissett with a few extra days of preparation after playing last Thursday and you have an offense that can still produce points even without Marlon Mack.
Total points at 43 is an easy number to reach. The Titans and Colts will surpass it this weekend.
Hop aboard the money train ladies and gentlemen. We are looking 7-1 dead in the eye.
Feature Image: Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports