If you’re betting on the Titans vs. Bucs, you’re playing a dangerous game. But if you like living on the edge, then do so intelligently. Here’s what you need to know about the battle for mediocrity in Nashville this Sunday.
Over the last four weeks, I’ve told you to take the under in every Titans game. It has hit in three of those games. This week we are straying away from our previous method though. Even though the Titans are still 5-2 to the under, the Bucs are 4-2 to the over making this game a little bit more in doubt when betting on the total.
NFL UNDER standings:
T1. Bills 5-1
T1. 49ers 5-1
T3. Patriots 5-2
T3. Broncos 5-2
T3. Chargers 5-2
T3. Titans 5-2
T7. Jets 4-2
T7. Dolphins 4-2
T7. Steelers 4-2
10. Bengals 4-2-1 pic.twitter.com/mBjyd9WFol
— Odds Shark (@OddsShark) October 23, 2019
Both teams also struggle against the spread. Each team’s spread record is actually the same as their overall records. The Titans are 3-4 while the Buccaneers are 2-4.
For this game, nothing jumps out from their records this season that makes you want to gamble on it. Because of that, we are forced to take a look at some history.
In the last seven times these teams have squared off, the Titans are 6-1 straight up and 5-1-1 against the spread. To add to that, Tampa Bay has not won in Nashville in that time span and in Titans’ wins, their average winning margin is 10 points.
Even though it may not seem like it, the Titans are actually covering machines when playing against sub-par opponents in Nashville. In their last nine games at home against a team with a sub .500 record, the Titans are 8-1 against the spread.
Of course these numbers aren’t everything. They do not take into account that the Buccaneers are coming off of a BYE week and that the Titans offensive line is playing abysmal football.
There are a lot of variables in this game which makes both teams quite difficult to trust. But if you love the thrill of uncertainty, your best bet is the Titans -2.5. Trust the numbers. They’ve led our gambling picks well so far. They’ll do it again.
Cover Image: Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports