The trade deadline is five days away and the Nashville Predators appear to be buyers. No doubt it will be a very interesting weekend for the team as the decisions they make in the next few days will set the table for the next several years of the franchise.
I can’t guarantee that David Poile will or won’t make a trade. But I can guarantee that if he does, someone on the current roster (or one of the highly touted prospects like Dante Fabbro or Eeli Tolvanen) will be on the way out.
With that in mind, let’s take a look at each player’s current stock value as of today, to get an idea of where things stand. Note that this isn’t intended to be a list of who is on the trade block, just a stock pricing guide of the current roster.
Roman Josi: The Preds’ captain has been churning out points consistently all season, leading the blueline with 49 points in 62 games. He also leads the team with 20 points since January 1st. His most recent three point performance against the Dallas Stars was a prime example of what he brings to the team.
Ryan Johansen: The JOFA line has been the best line on the team all season, even through all the injuries. Johansen himself is on a career points per game pace and he could push for Paul Kariya’s record of 54 assists in a season.
Viktor Arvidsson: If hockey stock prices had a ceiling, Arvidsson would have broken through that ceiling weeks ago. He leads the team with 26 goals despite missing 24 games earlier in the season. Enough said, right?
Filip Forsberg: We all saw what he tried to do against the Stars on Tuesday:
The fact that Filip Forsberg even tried this tells you all you need to know about how good he is. #Preds
— AtoZSports Nashville (@AtoZSports) February 20, 2019
Forsberg’s seven goals since January 1st is second on the team only to Arvidsson’s seventeen.
Mattias Ekholm: Ekholm’s been a consistent, two-way threat for the blueline all season. He’s already surpassed a career high in points and with three points in his last five games, he shows no sign of slowing down.
Nick Bonino: Finally, Bonino is contributing offensively the way he was probably expected to when he signed a four-year, $16 million deal in 2017. It could be better, but he still has six goals since January 1st, which ranks 4th on the team.
Rocco Grimaldi: The diminutive diamond in the rough! Grimaldi has been one of the most pleasant surprises this season for the Preds. He generates plenty of offense for a guy his size: he is currently 4th on the team in on-ice shot attempts for per hour, ranking right behind the three members of the JOFA line.
Juuse Saros: Saros had a rough go of it earlier in the year, but his stock is back up. Since January 1st, Saros has a .933 save percentage in 10 games with a 6-2-1 record.
Brian Boyle: Everyone likes the new guy. Scoring two goals in your first seven games doesn’t hurt.
Ryan Ellis: Ellis hasn’t quite emerged from his first half hibernation. He is still on pace for the lowest goals per game and points per game in four years. But he has shown signs, especially after getting three assists in Tuesday’s game at Dallas.
P.K. Subban: Similar to Ellis, Subban is pacing below his career averages in a lot of categories. But he has been getting better: he’s got nine points in 20 games since January 1st. He needs to improve his power play work (as does everyone else).
Ryan Hartman: Versatility keeps Hartman afloat most nights. He can shuffle almost anywhere in the lineup and his tenacity on the forecheck makes him valuable. He’s still not quite to the level he was in his first two years in Chicago, but he shows flashes.
Pekka Rinne: Of all the players in this section, Rinne might be falling the fastest, which is not good news for the team. They need Rinne to be better than he’s been over his last 10 games: a .903 save percentage and a 3.00 goals allowed average.
Yannick Weber: Weber doesn’t do much on defense or offense. He doesn’t make too many mistakes, though he does make some, and he can’t generate offense well enough to be put in position to do so. Honestly, I’m not sure Weber’s impact is enough to even notice either way, hence his current stock position.
Colton Sissons: Sissons has the 2nd most defensive starts among forwards, behind Bonino. For a guy expected to shut down opposing forwards, he does a decent job at generating offense. He’s got ten goals this year, but only three since January 1st.
Frederick Gaudreau: Gaudreau is here by default. With only a handful of games recently, it’s hard to judge his value. He is a replacement player, which means he isn’t really doing anything more than you’d expect.
Kevin Fiala: The only thing holding Fiala back is consistent goal scoring. He can generate the offense needed, he just can’t put the puck in the net enough. When you are considered a “goal scoring winger” you kind of need to do that. His stock is down until he can be more consistent.
Kyle Turris: Flat out, Kyle Turris has been awful. He might still be injured, but if he’s out there playing, he needs to be better. 19 points in 37 games? That’s simply not going to cut it for a $6 million center.
Craig Smith: The model of consistency for the Preds has been very streaky this season. He had four goals in his first nine games, then one in his next fourteen. Then he had five goals in eleven games, followed by six in his next 27 games. He still ranks 3rd on the team in goals, but the team needs a bit more consistency.
Calle Jarnkrok: I originally had Jarnkrok with Sissons, but decided to switch his stock to “down” simply because he’s not quite meeting the expectations of his admittedly reasonable cap hit. Yes, I realize that $2 million is a huge bargain in this day, but Sissons has very similar numbers to Jarnkrok and is only at $625K. The Preds need a bit more impact at both ends from Jarnkrok.
Dan Hamhuis: Hamhuis has been a disappointment. I realize he’s not here to generate a ton of offense… but four points in 51 games? That’s not going to cut it. He’s not been an awful defender, but his work in that area definitely does not excuse the vacuum he creates in the offensive end.
Matt Irwin: Simply not an NHL blueliner at this point. Pace, offense, defense, none of it works. He will be on his way out as soon as Dante Fabbro gets here.
Miikka Salomaki: Same as Irwin. Not an NHL player. If he wasn’t on IR, he might have been waived when Boyle arrived.
Cody McLeod: If you can explain to me one legitimate reason that McLeod is on the roster that actually leads to goals or wins, I will hear it. But so far? Nothing.
— All stats via Natural Stat Trick and Hockey Reference. Image via Jeff Curry/USA TODAY Sports —