As Tennessee continues to ride the wave at number one, the amount of people gambling on the Vols has increased as well. If you’re betting on the Vols tonight, here are some numbers to help you out.
A lot of money has gone towards Tennessee throughout the day, making them an 18-point favorite on most books. In Tennessee’s last meeting with Missouri, the Vols would have covered this spread easily as they won 87-63.
Not only did the Vols win by a large margin, but they also did so without a lot of contribution from their star, Grant Williams, who had his worst game of the season (4 points and fouled out).
In conference play so far, Tennessee is 6-2 against the spread and has been one of the best spread bets in the SEC while Mizzou has been one of the worst (2-5-1).
Overall the Tennessee first half bet has been pretty good, but as of late, the Vols have struggled to take a commanding lead in the first half of SEC games. On the other hand, Tennessee led by 11 at the half against Missouri in January.
#1 Vols currently rank 7th in the country in avg home margin of victory (22.8 pts). More impressively they rank 5th in the country at home in 1st half margin (+15.6) while Missouri’s avg 1st half margin on the road is -0.2. Look for a dominant first half from the Vols tonight
— College Capper (@CollegeCapper19) February 5, 2019
Possibly the most intriguing bet of the night is the game’s over/under (144) which also would have hit in the last meeting.
In Missouri’s last six road games, the over has hit in four of those games. Also, Tennessee still dropped 87 points against Arkansas in their last matchup with the Tigers despite the minimal production from Williams.
There is the thought process that Tennessee is less likely to cover the spread because teams ranked number one tend to “get everyone’s best shot.” This hasn’t proven to affect Tennessee’s ability to cover though as they’ve beaten the spread in their last three games and is 3-1 against the spread while being ranked number one.
All in all, the biggest factor in this game is how have the team’s adjusted since they last played a month ago. Who will make the right tweaks? Who do you trust more? Rick Barnes or Cuonzo Martin? The answer seems pretty obvious.
Cover Image: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports
Odds Information: OddShark